Your own trading desk for prediction markets.
Polly watches live sports markets every second, prices each point with its own model, and trades by rules you set. Every fill, win and loss lands in Telegram.
Early access when Polly opens up. We only email about Polly.
Rules that buy for you.
Describe a setup once, like a player two sets up priced between 80 and 92¢. Polly checks every live match each second and buys the moment one qualifies, at the stake, daily count and loss limit you choose.
- Take a setup yourself with one tap, or let auto mode buy
- Optional take-profit and stop-loss exits
- A decision log of every setup, bought or passed
Polly reports to Telegram.
Fills, wins and losses arrive as they happen, with the cost, fees and payout. A recap lands just after midnight. Change a stake, switch a rule off, or stop everything with one message.
- The kill switch takes one tap. Resuming takes two.
- Settings change by tap, each with an undo button
- Only your own private chat can control it
Paper first. Real money takes two switches.
Every rule prices every match on paper, even when it isn't trading, so there's always a baseline to compare against. Real orders need the desk in live mode and the rule armed. Loss limits pause a rule on their own, and the kill switch cancels every open order.
- Daily loss limits for each rule and for the whole desk
- Price collars and a cap on slippage for every order
- No new orders while prices are stale or the score feeds disagree
Beyond the scoreboard.
The weather desk trades daily high temperature markets for five cities. It compares each price with the same market on Kalshi and buys only when the gap clears your bar.
- Forecasts and observations from the National Weather Service
- Its own bankroll, order size and daily loss limit
See what's working.
A calendar of settled P&L by day, split between you and each rule. Set a monthly goal and Polly paces it against your normal swings, so one bad day reads as one bad day.
- Realized edge, calibration and fill quality for every rule
- Every deposit, fill and settlement in one history, with CSV export
The rest of the desk.
Live video
The match plays under the scoreboard, a second behind the market so the picture stays smooth.
One-press orders
Both outcomes, both sides of the book, and a mark on everything you hold.
Ask in plain English
Questions about your history become read-only SQL. It runs on your own Anthropic key, under a monthly cap you set.
Backtests
Replay a rule against recorded order books before it risks a dollar.
More than table tennis
Football and baseball markets run on the same desk, each sport behind one adapter.
Bring your own keys
Runs on your computer or a small server with your own Polymarket US key. Kalshi, Anthropic and Telegram are optional, each with your own key. Nothing passes through us.
Open source. Coming soon.
Polly will be free to download and run yourself. Join the waitlist for early access and a note when the code is public.
Questions or ideas? Write to hello@polly.market.